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Trapped in Gaza for 2 weeks, hundreds of American citizens still not able to leave_我的网站

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A |     While extensive, international negotiations have now led to the release of four hostages captured by Hamas, scores of foreign nationals in Gaza, including as many as 600 Americans, are still being blocked by the U.S.-designated terrorist group from crossing into Egypt, according to Biden administration officials."To date, at least, Hamas has blocked them from leaving, showing once again its total disregard for civilians of any kind who are stuck in Gaza," Secretary of State Antony Blinken said in a televised interview Sunday.On Monday, State Department spokesman Matthew Miller clarified that the U.S. now assessed that after weeks of negotiations with Egypt and Israel aimed at securing safe passage for the Americans, only Hamas stood in the way."We do believe that Egypt is ready to process American citizens if they can make it to Egyptian authorities. Hamas just has to stop blocking their exit," Miller said.Miller also said that while U.S. officials were not in direct communication with Hamas, they have been urging Hamas to step aside in messages sent through "a number of partners."The Biden administration has been working since soon after the Oct. 7 attacks on Israel to reopen the Rafah gate -- the sole border crossing between Gaza and Egypt -- in order to move aid into the area and allow foreign nationals to leave.While a limited number of trucks carrying food, water and medicine were able to enter Gaza for the first time on Saturday, so far none of the foreign nationals has been allowed to leave.Miller explained that "a number of civilians, some American citizens" flocked to the Gaza side of the Rafah crossing when it was first opened, but none were able to leave because Hamas "was there blocking anyone from coming through the gate from the Gaza side out to the Egyptian side."According to U.S. officials, the Egyptian government has also been hesitant to allow civilians to exit Gaza through the Rafah gate because of the country's intense concern over security threats posed by terrorist activities on the Sinai Peninsula.Egyptian officials are also likely eager to avoid the optics of thousands of people pouring across the border from Gaza -- wary the country might appear complicit in what its president and other Middle Eastern leaders have said would be an "ethnic cleansing" of Gaza.While securing Egypt's cooperation in eventually facilitating the departure of American citizens would be a diplomatic achievement for the administration, it does not yet appear that Cairo has signaled it will extend the same opportunity to the parents, children, siblings, and partners of U.S. nationals in Gaza.Miller said it was still the administration's goal that the immediate family members of American citizens crossing through the Rafah gate would be allowed to depart as well, but that it was "an ongoing conversation" with Egypt.With a potential Israeli ground incursion looming, the already dire circumstances facing Americans and their loved ones inside Gaza may soon get even worse.Abood Okal, a 36-year-old American, has been stranded in Gaza with his wife and 1-year-old son since the beginning of the Israel-Hamas war, told his lawyer, Sammy Nabulsi, that the family has been huddled in a home with 40 other people, sleeping on the floor, sharing meager amounts of food, and that for an entire day, they had been forced to drink salt water to survive.Nabulsi said in an interview with ABC News Live on Monday that Okal's family had been instructed by the State Department to go to the Rafah crossing four different times, but on each occasion no one had been allowed to pass through the gate."I think the holdup is the United States isn't focused on this effort at all," said Nabulsi. "It's unacceptable to me. It should be unacceptable to every single American citizen is this entire country."Although the State Department asserts that Hamas is preventing them from fleeing to safety, Miller said Americans stranded in Gaza are "in a different situation" from the around 220 individuals the Israeli Defense Forces believes are still being held hostage by the group."I am not at all trying to minimize the situation," Miller said, acknowledging Americans like Okal and his family are facing "deplorable" circumstances and vowing that U.S. officials are "working intensively' to get them out.The administration has not provided any number or estimate of how many of the 500 to 600 Americans thought to be trapped in Gaza have reached out to the State Department for help."We have a list of Americans who are registered with us, and when we have any information about the possibility of transiting outside of Gaza, we're providing it to all of them," Miller said.。    8月24日,英国首相伯纳姆、法国总统马克龙、德国总理默茨共同主持会议,三十多个国家组成的援乌“志愿联盟”正式对外公布方案:一旦俄乌达成停火协议,就立刻向乌克兰派遣多国军事特遣队,以此为乌克兰提供战后安全保障。这一重磅表态直接触碰俄罗斯的安全红线。

B |     克里姆林宫发言人佩斯科夫公开重申,北约性质的军队进驻乌克兰是“不可接受”,俄方将动用一切必要手段捍卫国家安全。一边是欧洲集体加码安全承诺,一边是俄罗斯划出的强硬红线,再叠加美俄秘密高层接触,整个欧洲安全格局被推到高度危险的临界点。    志愿联盟的整套计划,并非简单的人道主义维和构想。联盟对外同时抛出两大支撑:一方面筹备战后进驻乌克兰的多国部队,另一方面承诺合计900亿欧元资金援助,同步输送高端防空导弹,补强乌克兰防空反导体系,帮助乌克兰抵御俄军远程打击。    联盟给出的前提条件十分明确,部队不会在战火尚未熄灭时进场,必须建立可靠停火机制之后再实施部署。但即便套上“停火之后”的前提,在俄罗斯眼中,依旧等同于北约势力向乌克兰领土渗透。

C |         欧洲国家此举,有着自身现实诉求。多年援乌之后,欧洲希望塑造一套属于自己的安全方案,降低对美国的依赖,同时给乌克兰吃下定心丸,强化基辅在谈判桌上的底气。

D |     但这份宏大声明之下,联盟内部裂痕早已显现,三十多个参与国当中,不少国家明确表态不会出兵,派兵的规模、指挥体系、经费分摊全部没有敲定,宏大的政治宣言距离落地执行还有巨大鸿沟。    面对志愿联盟的派兵规划,俄罗斯的回应毫不含糊。佩斯科夫明确指出,即便设定停火的前置条件,北约国家军队部署在乌克兰领土,依旧触及俄罗斯核心安全底线,西方好战姿态逼迫俄方必须采取对应反制措施。俄军同步强化对北约混合威胁的风险监控,做好应对局势升级的全套预案。    对俄罗斯而言,如果允许欧洲多国部队进驻乌克兰,意味着北约东扩的事实完成,多年特别军事行动想要达成的安全目标将付诸东流。所以俄方不会接受这样的战后安排。    战场上,俄军依旧保持高强度作战节奏;外交层面,直接把志愿联盟的派兵方案定性为敌对挑衅。俄乌战场僵持之外,俄欧之间的对峙张力已经拉满。        就在欧洲高调组建志愿联盟、不断加码援乌的敏感节点,美国中情局局长拉特克利夫秘密到访莫斯科,举行未对外公开的情报部门会谈,成为整个事件当中极具戏剧性的变量。作为特朗普政府上台之后访俄级别最高的官员,这次访问没有公开议程,美俄双方都对会谈内容守口如瓶。外界普遍判断,美方希望当面劝阻俄罗斯进一步扩大冲突规模,避免战火蔓延到欧洲本土。

E |     这一幕充分暴露出美国的矛盾处境:一方面默许、推动欧洲加大对乌克兰军事援助,另一方面又担心局势彻底失控,把美国拖入和俄罗斯的直接冲突,因此保留秘密沟通渠道进行风险管控。特朗普政府原本寄希望谈判化解俄乌危机,但俄乌双方领土、安全等核心诉求差距巨大,谈判大门虽未完全关闭,现实和解条件并不具备。    值得注意的是,美国并没有加入志愿联盟派兵计划,把派兵的重担留给欧洲,自己在幕后斡旋,这种角色分工,也让欧洲的处境更加微妙。一旦后续局势恶化,缺少美国完整军事支撑,欧洲多国的派兵计划将很难独立运转。

F |     900亿欧元援助资金看似数额庞大,但乌克兰自身公布的数据显示,仅仅国防预算缺口就达到270亿欧元,后续重建、民生恢复更是天文数字。巨额资金分摊到欧洲各国头上,会持续挤压各国本国财政空间。能源、民生福利开支和援乌支出互相挤占,欧洲内部的民意压力会逐步累积。        志愿联盟把派兵和巨额援助捆绑在一起,既是对乌克兰的安全许诺,也是欧洲自身的战略押注。可如果战场局势持续僵持,停火遥遥无期,这笔沉重的负担会长期消耗欧洲实力,各国民众的耐心也会不断被消耗。联盟内部的分歧会随着经济压力放大,未来政策摇摆的可能性始终存在。    如今整个局势陷入吊诡循环:欧洲以战后派兵作为筹码抬高乌克兰谈判条件;俄罗斯坚决拒绝该方案,继续在战场施加压力;美国一边拱火一边私下管控冲突风险。志愿联盟的计划,看似是为和平之后做准备,实际上反而抬高了达成停火的门槛。    一旦这套派兵方案被视作和平谈判的硬性前提,俄乌之间达成和解的空间会被进一步压缩。冲突长期化,甚至出现战火外溢波及欧洲的风险,并非完全不存在。

G | 无论俄罗斯还是欧洲各国,都要承担难以估量的代价。

H |     宏大的军事宣言、秘密的高层接触,都无法掩盖现实的困局。

I | 未来局势走向充满变数,任何误判都有可能酿成更大灾难。如何跳出对抗循环,重回平等对话轨道,依旧是摆在所有相关国家面前最棘手的命题。返回,查看更多

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